With Ms Mayawati hosting the Left Front leaders and other regional satraps for a dinner in New Delhi on Sunday, the so-called Third Front is starting to take shape. The leaders have decided to work upon a vision document and are trying to actively woo parties outside the NDA and UPA fold, particularly the Biju Janata Dal (BJD).
So far the only common factor that is bringing these parties together is their strong anti-BJP and anti-Congress stand. However, will that be enough?
Do You Think That The Third Front Will Be Able To Coalesce Around A Common Agenda?
- No (83%, 39 Votes)
- Yes (17%, 8 Votes)
Total Voters: 47
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Unfortunately, Third front is nothing but the Left Front struggling to make its presence felt on the national scene. The other regional parties join it as hangers-on just to dump it at the first convinience.
This time around, the third front will make a lot of noises and then fall flat as it did in 1990 and 1996.
The third front is a non starter. All it will do is divide the secular vote, so that the BJP benefits in a major way.
Milind,
“The third front is a non starter. All it will do is divide the secular vote, so that the BJP benefits in a major way.”
Third Front is active only where BJP has marginal presence and vice-versa. BJP and Third Front are not each others’ competitors. The Congress is for both.
But whether BJP and Third Front can come together after elections and give a good and stable government to the country remains to be seen(most likely they WILL have the numbers).
A very viable option could be this :-
Group-A :- Nitesh+Biju+Naidu+Jaya+AGP+Ajit Singh. Together they will manage about 90 seats.
Group-B :- Left 45 seats.
Group-C :- BJP 140 Seats+ Shiv Sena&Akali-15 Seats.
Total is 290 Seats. Now Group-A forms the government. Group-B and C either support it or join it.
As regards PM, in Group-A, Nitesh and Jayalalitha will be top contenders. Both are top class acceptable to all religions, classes and castes.
Sanjay#
You must be kidding that the LF of Group B is supporting or joining the BJP. On similar lines, what is the standing of Jayalalita or Nitish? They are the most opportunist of all the politicians of all hues.
As Salamu Aliekum…
Third Front is going make an impact, but it will be DR. Manmohan Singh who will lead as one more time, Insha Allah…
Brother Sanjay:
Look UPA will come to power with the help of some 3rd frond parties…
I can only pray to Allah(swt) to keep BJP out, even after decades their agenda is still communal, whether it’s is RAM Mandir, associating Muslims with Terrorism, Modi, Advani and now Varun. Even the new faces are the same in BJP…
Wassalam…
Sanjay
Your group A consists of approx. 150 seats & 54 are in alliance with BJP so minus 30=120. out of which the best circ. win count comes down to 50 & the left would be lucky to scrape with 30 seats – it’s a UPA gov. with biju joining them – but – if 185 cong. + 65 alliance – the kingmaker is UP this time & who would it be – ‘M’aya or ‘M’ulayam? The ‘M’ factor is going to dominate this time for sure. NDA is out, even in their best performance, they just don’t have the nos.
Brothers,
You people took my theory so seriously.
I had just given a possibility looking
into two aspects :-
1. Most probably Left will not tie up with Congress this time.
2. With each passing day, congress is losing its mettle. Yesterday, Lalo gave them 3 seats in Bihar. SP gave them 7 seats in UP. Pawar is looking for TF/ Shiv sena. Keeping these developments in view one can say that congress is on sticky wicket this time. Definitely, Congress is not dead and it will bounce back in future, as soon as ,next elections. But this time, stars dont appear to be in its favour.
So the major players left are TF and BJP. If you look closely at my Close-A, you will find that they are all competitors of Congress in their respective states and BJP is far behind them in their states. So they will be tempted to choose a lesser danger.
Having said that, this is all guess-work. Nothing can be said at the moment.
Regading BJP sharing power at the centre, Indian muslims have to be mentally prepared to see them at the centre though nothing can be said at the moment. All possibilities are open but its sure that whatever may be the form of government it will have either congress or bjp in it–depending upon how many seats each party wins.
aam insaan,
My guesstimate for Group-A is
Nitesh :- 25 Seats.
Biju :- 15 Seats.
Naidu :- 10 Seats.
Jaya :- 30 Seats.
Ajit+
AGP+other:- 10 Seats.
——————–
Total 90
Left 45
BJP 140
Akali 03
Shiv sena 12
———————
290
This is what is generally projected by media also.
M.Naqqad,
I am not saying left will support a BJP government. But at the same time, left will not mind if BJP supports Group-A. Remember, they had almost come together to topple UPA government during Nuclear deal voting.
Sanjay
“Brothers,
You people took my theory so seriously.”
—Relax bro, it’s just that you initiated a guess & being election time & above all being typical indians we just thought ‘let’s chip in’-
Every political Party in India protects their turf irrespective of what happens to the “aam admi” irrespective of the religion they belong to.
- Congress the pro-poor party. So they have manipulated to keep most of the Indians poor. GARIBI HATAO was the poll promise of Mrs Indira Gandhi in 1971 after more than 35 years Congress has managed to keep the nation poor. The Congress did not allow any industry to grow till 1990, when Mr Narasimha Rao unshackled India and Mr Vajpeyee took it to further hights.
- BJP, the communal party, keeps racking up communal issues one after other.
-Left the workers party, keeps everybody at the level of unskilled labourer or Clerk/ Peon in govt office etc so they are fodder for Bandh/ harthal etc. Well paid professional is their biggest threat because he will not be available for their “negative political strategy of opposing for the sake of opposing”.
Regional Parties- Yadav for Yadav, SC for SC, get DMK/ get AIADMK, Maharashtra Pride- kick every one else- religion doesn’t matter etc etc.